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COVID-19 Long-Term Projection

A Shiny App to project the infection and death cases of COVID-19 in the U.S. for the next four months.

The App is developed based on our recently developed STEM framework for the infection/death count data in the U.S. (48 states in the Mainland and District of Columbia). The curves show the number of reported COVID-19 infections/deaths, and the corresponding predicted counts in the next four months. The shaded area indicates the 95% projection band.
Assumptions: The projections assume that the data used is reliable, the future will continue to follow the current pattern, and current interventions and county-level features will remain unchanged during the forecasting period.